MMH10: The charts I wanted to see
But that’s not the chart I wanted to see. Indeed, the charts I wanted to see are not to be found in the paper or the SI. So I made the charts I wanted to see.
The following charts are made from Table 1 as found in MMH10. I have made no effort to validate that information.
First are the 23 models compared to the 4 observation data sets for the lower troposphere.
The bars show the trend. The whiskers show the 2 s.d. The bars show the (~95%) confidence interval for the trends. The solid horizontal lines show the maximum and minimum of the observational data sets take as a whole. The dashed horizontal lines show the range which satisfies all four observational data sets. Pink bars are those models whose trend +/- 2 sd do not fall into any part of the observational range. Orange bars are models with +/- 2 sd which fall into some part of the observational range but not within the combined obs range. The green bars are those models whose range of trend +/- 2 sd includes the range which satisfies all four observational data sets.
The same game for the Middle Troposphere models and observations.
Chad points me to a model-by-model comparison that he did earlier:
NOTE: The original charts were lost in a server crash. I have reconstructed them (Jul 2012) per the description above. Code is here